Friday, December 21, 2007

DAILY PIVOT POINTS

Currency

H

L

C

S3

S2

S1

P

R1

R2

R3


EURUSD

1.4391

1.4309

1.4329

1.4213

1.4261

1.4295

1.4343

1.4377

1.4425

1.4459


USDJPY

113.38

112.78

113.13

112.22

112.50

112.81

113.10

113.41

113.69

114.01


GBPUSD

1.9984

1.9809

1.9837

1.9594

1.9702

1.9769

1.9877

1.9944

2.0052

2.0119


USDCHF

1.1591

1.1542

1.1580

1.1502

1.1522

1.1551

1.1571

1.1600

1.1620

1.1649


USDCAD

1.0048

0.9951

1.0016

0.9865

0.9908

0.9962

1.0005

1.0059

1.0101

1.0155


AUDUSD

0.8602

0.8568

0.8589

0.8538

0.8553

0.8571

0.8587

0.8605

0.8620

0.8638


NZDUSD

0.7605

0.7534

0.7594

0.7479

0.7506

0.7550

0.7578

0.7621

0.7649

0.7693


EURJPY

163.09

161.73

162.09

160.16

160.95

161.52

162.30

162.87

163.66

164.22


EURGBP

0.7239

0.7194

0.7222

0.7152

0.7173

0.7197

0.7218

0.7242

0.7263

0.7288


EURCHF

1.6619

1.6574

1.6596

1.6529

1.6551

1.6573

1.6596

1.6618

1.6641

1.6663


GBPJPY

226.46

223.56

224.38

220.25

221.91

223.14

224.80

226.04

227.69

228.93


AUDJPY

97.45

96.74

97.15

96.07

96.41

96.78

97.11

97.49

97.82

98.19


Thursday, December 20, 2007

GBPUSD & GBPJPY













GBPJPY


SHORT position at 225.80

STOP LOSS above 226.50 (-70 pips).

THE TARGETS are 224.87 / 224.30 / 223.65 / 221.38

OP, SL & TP at your own risks.



GBPUSD


SHORT position at 1.9960

STOP LOSS above 2.0010 (-50 pips).

The targets are 1.9860 / 1.9800 / 1.9665

OP, SL & TP at your own risks.

Monday, December 17, 2007

GBPJPY THIS WEEK














GBPJPY

LONG position at 228.50

STOP LOSS below 227.50 (-100 pips).

THE TARGETS are: 228.90 / 229.60 / 230.36

OP, SL & TP at your own risks


GBPJPY

SHORT position at 228.50

STOP LOSS above 229.50 (-100 pips).

THE TARGETS are 228.19 / 227.28 / 226.68

OP, SL & TP at your own risks

Friday, December 14, 2007

GBPUSD.GBPJPY


GBPJPY

LONG position at 229.33

STOP LOSS below 228.50 (-83 pips).

THE TARGETS are: 230.38

Each trade is dangerous, OP, SL & SL at your own risks

.................................................................................................

Friday, December 14th, 2007 (8:30 a.m. New York Time) USA
We will have only one tradable indicator, and that is Core CPI coming out of the U.S. It is expected to come out at 0.2%. I think this is worthy to trade with any deviation. If it comes out at 0.1% or lower, that would be dollar weakening so buy signal on GBP/USD, and we can expect 35 to 50 pips move or more in the first hour of the report. On the other hand, if it comes out at 0.3% or higher, we can expect a sell signal on GBP/USD, good for 35 to 50 pips or more in the first hour of the report. The CPI is less in focus than it used to be so we may get a choppy price action but still quite important.

SUMMARY:
* Report: US Core CPI
* Buy on GBP/USD if the number will be 0.1% or lower
* Sell on GBP/USD if the number will be 0.3% or higher

Thursday, December 13, 2007

GBPJPY















GBPJPY

SHORT position at 229.00

STOP LOSS above 230.60 (-160 pips).

THE TARGETS are 228.39/227.50/226.65

OP, SL & TP at your own risks.

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

GBPJPY

GBPJPY

SHORT position at 227.00
STOP LOSS above 227.60 (-60 pips).
THE TARGETS are 226.14 /225.15 / 224.85

Each trade is dangerous, OP, SL & TP at your own risks.

GBPUSD & GBPJPY

GBPJPY

SHORT position at 225.40
STOP LOSS above 226.60 (-120 pips).
TARGETS are: 225.29 / 224.90

LONG position at 225.50
STOP LOSS below 225.00 (-50 pips).
THE TARGETS are: 226.50

GBPUSD

SHORT position at 2.0333
STOP LOSS above 2.0373 (-40 pips).
The targets are 2.0294 / 2.0220

GBPUSD

LONG position at 2.0350
STOP LOSS below 2.0300 (-50 pips).
THE TARGETS are: 2.0400

Each trade is dangerous, OP, SL & SL at your own risks

GBPUSD.GBPJPY

GBPUSD
LONG
position at 2.0350
STOP LOSS below 2.0300 (-50 pips).
THE TARGETS are: 2.0400

GBPJPY
LONG
position at 225.50
STOP LOSS below 224.75 (-75 pips).
THE TARGETS are: 226.42 / 226.77 / 227.12
Each trade is dangerous, OP, SL & SL at your own risks

Tuesday, December 11, 2007

GBPUSD

UK TRADE BALANCE

SUMMARY:
* Report: UK Trade Balance
* Sell on GBP/USD if the number will be -8.5 B or more nagative
* Buy on GBP/USD if the number will be -6.4 B or less negative
* If the trigger is hit, expect 25 to 35 pips or more in the first hour of the report

US INTEREST RATE STATEMENT

3. Tuesday, December 11th, 2007 (2:15 p.m. New York Time) USA
At 2.15 p.m. New York time we will have U.S. Interest Rate Statement. It is expected they will cut rates from 4.50% to 4.25%. The futures are pricing in about 20% chance they may cut rates by 50 bp to 4.00%. If they cut the rates to 4.00%, it would be a buy signal on GBP/USD causing some major dollar weakness, and we should see a move of 70 to 100 pips or more. If they keep the rates unchanged at 4.50%, that would be dollar-strengthening, and we should see GBP/USD going down by 70 to 100 pips or more. If they cut the rates to 4.25% then the market reaction is going to be highly dependent on the statement released by Bernanke, and that is subject to a lot of interpretations. They have been pretty hawkish after the last cut but nobody listened to them and GBP/USD gained. That's why it is tough to say how the market is going to react to such comments. Unless you are experienced, I would stay away from it.

SUMMARY:
* Report: US Interests Rate Statement
* Sell on GBP/USD if they keep it unchanged
* Buy on GBP/USD if they cut the rates to 4.00%
* NO TRADE if they cut to 4.25%

Monday, December 10, 2007

GBPJPY


GBPJPY @ 227.96
SHORT TARGET: 227.30

GBPUSD


GBPUSD

SHORT position at 2.0333
STOP LOSS above 2.0373 (-40 pips).
The targets are 2.0294 / 2.0220

Each trade is dangerous, OP at your own risk and put your SL.

GBPJPY


GBPJPY

SHORT position at 227.00
STOP LOSS above 227.60 (-60 pips).
The targets are 225.95

Each trade is dangerous, OP at your own risk and put your SL.

Sunday, December 9, 2007